Two years since the initial trauma of the October 7 massacre, Israel is, in many ways, back living on October 6.
After an interim period of peak domestic cohesionâduring which Israelis galvanized in response to crisisâideological divides have reemerged with a vengeance, most prominently in the ferocious debate surrounding the Netanyahu government's prosecution of the Gaza war and efforts to secure a release of the hostages. The new prospect of a lasting settlement, while welcomed by most of the public, is unlikely to bridge those disputes, which will come to a head certainly in elections that will be held within the coming year.
Meanwhile, the extreme nature of the threat to Israel's security from multiple fronts has intensified other pre-existing tendencies. Public resilience to adversity has hardened in the face of unrelenting missile and drone attacks. The Israel Defense Forcesâwhere hundreds of thousands of Israelis have reported faithfully for consecutive tours of reserve duty since October 7âis revered as singularly hallowed space where unity of purpose among the ranks has transcended politics. A citizenry that already skewed rightward has become even more skeptical of the potential for peaceful coexistence with its Palestinian neighbors.
What has changed fundamentally, however, is Israel's regional and global footing. In the broader Middle East, eventsâsome but not all of them precipitated by Israelâin Lebanon, Syria, and Iran have defanged sworn enemies of Israel and improved its security position. (The Abraham Accords have survived this turbulence largely intact.) Conversely, Israel's international standing has suffered repeated blows, with protests and boycotts targeting its diplomatic, economic, academic, scientific, cultural, and athletic relationships.
But all these realities are tentative. This week's negotiations in Egypt, where parties are engaged in translating US President Donald Trump's plans for peace into concrete facts on the ground, represent a critical inflection point.
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